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Sunday 24 June 2012

Turkish F-4 shotdown

Relations between Syria and Turkey have declined rapidly since the beginning of the civil uprising against Assad's regime with Turkey agreeing to house refugees fleeing from the civil war and Syria claiming that the border between the two countries has become a major gateway for the flow of illegal arms and fighters it claims are supporting the anti-government forces operating within the country. Matters seemed to have reached near boiling point with the revelation two days ago that a Turkish military aircraft undergoing testing of an indigenous radar system went missing near the Syrian border with the Syrian Government later confirming that it's air-defence network had shot down the Turkish F-4 Phantom because it had illegally entered Syrian Air-Space. 


Turkish F-4 Phantom




In response to this admission the Turkish Government made a statement confirming that the incident would be discussed during the next meeting of NATO powers and whilst the Turkish administration have repeatedly claimed that military intervention in Syria would not be the best course of action, other nations in the alliance with a more positive outlook on military intervention like the United States could utilize this shoot-down incident as possible reasoning for some form of military intervention or action against the Syrian regime and it's armed forces, this comes despite the fact the Turkish President confirmed later on the possibility that the Turkish aircraft could of illegally entered Syrian airspace, confirming the official statement from the Syrian Government.


Syrian claim of aircrafts movement



Of course this brings up more questions then awnsers. The Turkish Defence Ministry claims that it lost contact with its F-4 Phantom over the Turkish province of Hatlay whilst the Syrian Defence Ministry claim that its air-defence network engaged and shot down the aircraft 1km off the Syrian coast, several kilometres from the province of Hatlay and well within Syrian territory, so who is telling the truth? If the Turkish Defence Ministry is correct then the Syrian Air-Defence force acted prematurely and it could hint that some within the network are deeply fearful of the type of international intervention that was seen in Libya however if the Syrian Defence Ministry was correct it creates another series of questions that need to be answered, did this aircraft accidentally stray into Syrian air-space or was it ordered to? Opening the possibility that this was part of a test of the capabilities and loyalty of the Syrian Air-Defence network before an organized international intervention.

So we have three possible scenarios.


  1. The Syrian Air-Defence Network acted out of fear of an international intervention and shot down a Turkish military aircraft within Turkish airspace with our without permission from higher up the command structure.
  2. The Syrian Air-Defence Network shot down a Turkish military aircraft that accidentally strayed into Syrian air-space either in an act of fear or a signal to the international community.
  3. The Syrian Air-Defence Network shot down a Turkish military aircraft that was performing intelligence operations against the Syrian air-defence network and was eliminated in a clear signal to the Western powers that outside military intervention like in Libya would be defended against far more comprehensively then in Libya


Only time will tell if any of these scenarios I have put forward are even remotely correct, although at the moment the evidence is currently pointing towards scenario number two as the most likely option.



Saturday 9 June 2012

Syrian Revolution

It has become a sad reality that the once peaceful Syrian revolution, a call for democracy and freedom has been hijacked by internal and foreign religious extremists that don't wish to create a democratic state and instead wish to use a de-stabilized Syria as a training centre for insurgents and as a weapon against the Iranian regime, this however has not hardly been covered by the mainstream media who appear to take the word of opposition groups operating outside and inside the country as gospel as it seems they continue to push towards military intervention.

Luckily for me and others news agencies like Russia Today continue to report such stories so one can discover what is actually happening inside the country and it certainly paints a disturbing picture. Saudi Arabia and Qatar are actively financing and arming the Syrian opposition fighters regardless of the groups actual ambitions for the country. These groups have been responsible for a wave of massacres and ambushes that have killed dozens of Syrian civilians and soldiers over the past few months, of course the Syrian regime itself is not completely innocent and it has it's own civilian militia that have carried out similar crimes in areas outside government control however the involvement of foreign powers in Syria's internal affairs leans towards the assumption that the Arab League is not interested in the UN peace plan and simply wishes to continue the current chaos in Syria.



Saudi Arabia has even been caught by secret cameras organizing an auction for people to sell off their own family members to carry out suicide attacks that have killed hundreds of civilians and members of the security services. It appears then that certain members of the Arab League have a vested interest in prolonging the current state of civil war inside Syria to either be used as a facility for training insurgents or as a weapon against Iran by destroying one of the countries only allies.


I don't see any easy or even a difficult solution for the current strife in Syria however I think that the Russians and even the Iranians hold the key to ending the violence in Syria as quickly as possible, sadly however I don't think the powers that be have any interest in whatever the Russian Government is planning.

Iran, Israel and Propaganda 2.0

Iran is often criticized for it's aggressive behaviour in the region, for example when the Iranian Navy carried out a naval operation in the Mediterranean Israeli and an American politicians rallied to the mainstream media to share news of this "grave threat" and use this as reasoning for more sanctions or even military action against the Iranian regime despite the reality that the Iranian Navy only sent a singular destroyer and a replenishment ship, more of a signal of support towards the current Syrian regime and propaganda then a direct threat to the Israeli regime.



The Islamic Republic also inflicted another embarrassing defeat on the American-Air-Force when it reported that it had successfully captured an American intelligence gathering drone caught loitering near Iranian military facilities close to the Afghan boarder, the capture of the drone opened the possibility that the Iranian Military could of managed to capture the drone by simply hacking into the control interface and forcing it to land safely into the desert for safe capture, the embarrassment continued for the American Government when they asked to return the drone, an Iranian company instead offered to send several scale models of the drone directly to the American President as a "gift" instead of the drone.



Of course the Islamic Republic of Iran is no stranger to being attacked by foreign power. Iranian infrastructure and science has been under siege by a mixture of cyber-attacks and assassinations carried out by both the Israeli and American Intelligence Services but these attacks are not placed in their proper context, surely these attacks actually give a basis of support for allowing the Iranian regime to have nuclear weapons as they are already routinely attacked despite the fact that the Iranian leadership has constantly and consistently declared nuclear weapons to be prohibited and even said it was everyones duty to "protect against this disaster".

I've been repeating this line repeatedly but it bears repeating. The Military-Industrial Complex and the Politicians they support are continuing to push for military action against the Islamic Republic of Iran and it will be done under the false pretence of dismantling the Iranian nuclear weapons program and I am not in favour in creating an even costlier Iraqi style conflict.