Turkish F-4 shotdown

Relations between Syria and Turkey have declined rapidly since the beginning of the civil uprising against Assad's regime with Turkey agreeing to house refugees fleeing from the civil war and Syria claiming that the border between the two countries has become a major gateway for the flow of illegal arms and fighters it claims are supporting the anti-government forces operating within the country. Matters seemed to have reached near boiling point with the revelation two days ago that a Turkish military aircraft undergoing testing of an indigenous radar system went missing near the Syrian border with the Syrian Government later confirming that it's air-defence network had shot down the Turkish F-4 Phantom because it had illegally entered Syrian Air-Space. 

Turkish F-4 Phantom

In response to this admission the Turkish Government made a statement confirming that the incident would be discussed during the next meeting of NATO powers and whilst the Turkish administration have repeatedly claimed that military intervention in Syria would not be the best course of action, other nations in the alliance with a more positive outlook on military intervention like the United States could utilize this shoot-down incident as possible reasoning for some form of military intervention or action against the Syrian regime and it's armed forces, this comes despite the fact the Turkish President confirmed later on the possibility that the Turkish aircraft could of illegally entered Syrian airspace, confirming the official statement from the Syrian Government.

Syrian claim of aircrafts movement

Of course this brings up more questions then awnsers. The Turkish Defence Ministry claims that it lost contact with its F-4 Phantom over the Turkish province of Hatlay whilst the Syrian Defence Ministry claim that its air-defence network engaged and shot down the aircraft 1km off the Syrian coast, several kilometres from the province of Hatlay and well within Syrian territory, so who is telling the truth? If the Turkish Defence Ministry is correct then the Syrian Air-Defence force acted prematurely and it could hint that some within the network are deeply fearful of the type of international intervention that was seen in Libya however if the Syrian Defence Ministry was correct it creates another series of questions that need to be answered, did this aircraft accidentally stray into Syrian air-space or was it ordered to? Opening the possibility that this was part of a test of the capabilities and loyalty of the Syrian Air-Defence network before an organized international intervention.

So we have three possible scenarios.

1. The Syrian Air-Defence Network acted out of fear of an international intervention and shot down a Turkish military aircraft within Turkish airspace with our without permission from higher up the command structure.
2. The Syrian Air-Defence Network shot down a Turkish military aircraft that accidentally strayed into Syrian air-space either in an act of fear or a signal to the international community.
3. The Syrian Air-Defence Network shot down a Turkish military aircraft that was performing intelligence operations against the Syrian air-defence network and was eliminated in a clear signal to the Western powers that outside military intervention like in Libya would be defended against far more comprehensively then in Libya

Only time will tell if any of these scenarios I have put forward are even remotely correct, although at the moment the evidence is currently pointing towards scenario number two as the most likely option.